9 Jul · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OM
🇺🇦Oleh Maksymkiv
ELO 1501
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Maksymkiv
VH
🇺🇦Valerii Hel
ELO 1475
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Maksymkiv rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (28)
Fair odds · Maksymkiv
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H8-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.