9 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1374
FormWWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Seeman
JS
🇺🇦Jan Seeman
ELO 1450
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Seeman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)