9 Jul · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii Mukhin
ELO 1420
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 69% (39)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)