10 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1579
FormWLWLW
48%
52%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 69% (70)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H14-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.