10 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1550
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ivanov
RI
🇺🇦Ruslan Ivanov
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Ivanov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.