10 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1579
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1620
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Loboda🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H12-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.