10 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1597
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Riadynskyi
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1549
FormLWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H48-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-34)