10 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1579
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Loboda
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1511
FormWLWLL
57%
43%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 75% (60)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H51-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-32)