10 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇺🇦Jan Mares
ELO 1403
FormLLWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Holub
MH
🇺🇦Martin Holub
ELO 1532
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
⚡ Cover lean · Holub🌟Mares rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (15)
Fair odds · Holub
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~73 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H16-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-5)