10 Jul · 11:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2137
FormWLWWW
82%Win chancemodel fair 1.22Ponomarenko
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1777
FormLWLWL
82%
18%
🌟Horokh rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (15)
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 82% · 1.22vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~69 pts
3-0
44%
3-1
26%
3-2
13%
2-3
8%
1-3
6%
Elo Gap+360
H2H187-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+360)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (187-32)