10 Jul · 11:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1636
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dobias
JR
🇺🇦Jan Rochowanski
ELO 1542
FormWLLLL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rochowanski🌟Rochowanski covers set handicap as underdog 64% (14)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+94
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+94)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)