10 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1442
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1482
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Klymenko stays under total as underdog 63% (52)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.