10 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1482
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLWWL
50%
50%
🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 68% (47)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H64-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.