10 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hasman
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1489
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🌟Vana covers set handicap as underdog 77% (13)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.