10 Jul · 07:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1705
FormLWLLL
86%Win chancemodel fair 1.16Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2137
FormWLWWW
14%
86%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 86% · 1.16vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 73%Total ~69 pts
0-3
46%
1-3
27%
2-3
14%
3-2
6%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+432
H2H129-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+432)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (129-11)