10 Jul · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Chaikovskyi
BC
🇺🇦Bohdan Chaikovskyi
ELO 1620
FormWWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Chaikovskyi rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Chaikovskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H15-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-7)