10 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1434
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ovsiienko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLWWL
45%
55%
⚡ Cover lean · Ovsiienko🌟Ovsiienko stays under total as favourite 68% (47)
Fair odds · Ovsiienko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H10-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-5)