10 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1525
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolesnykov
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1536
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H10-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.