10 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1442
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stukalov
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1453
FormLWLWW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Klymenko🌟Klymenko stays under total as underdog 63% (52)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H14-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.