10 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1661
FormWWLWL
88%Win chancemodel fair 1.14Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2137
FormWLWWW
12%
88%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 88% · 1.14vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~71 pts
0-3
47%
1-3
28%
2-3
14%
3-2
5%
3-1
4%
Elo Gap+476
H2H80-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+476)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-6)