10 Jul · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Balabei
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1705
FormLWLLL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H73-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-18)