10 Jul · 12:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1636
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Dobias
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1541
FormLWWWW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)