10 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MH
🇺🇦Michael Hasman
ELO 1495
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hasman
MM
🇺🇦Marian Melisek
ELO 1424
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🌟Hasman stays under total as favourite 65% (31)
Fair odds · Hasman
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)