10 Jul · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1453
FormLWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1482
FormWLWLL
47%
53%
🌟Stukalov covers set handicap as underdog 67% (66)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H29-44
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.