10 Jul · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1374
FormWWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Pyrtyk
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Sydorchuk
ELO 1290
FormLWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)