10 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1434
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1482
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
⚡ Cover lean · Stetsenko
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)