10 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1777
FormLWLWL
30%
70%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 54%Total ~74 pts
0-3
29%
1-3
25%
2-3
16%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+201
H2H80-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+201)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (80-14)