10 Jul · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Ondrej Mezera
ELO 1539
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Heinzl
LH
🇺🇦Lukas Heinzl
ELO 1584
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mezera🌟Mezera goes over total as underdog 78% (69)
Fair odds · Heinzl
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)