10 Jul · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇺🇦Lukas Rulc
ELO 1591
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Rulc
MM
🇺🇦Michal Makara
ELO 1513
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Makara🌟Rulc rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (56)
Fair odds · Rulc
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H29-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)