10 Jul · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1374
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pyrtyk
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1314
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Bolnyh covers set handicap as underdog 88% (26)
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)