10 Jul · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MZ
🇺🇦Mykyta Zinov
ELO 1505
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zinov
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1465
FormLLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Zinov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H3-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.