10 Jul · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kuzmenko
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1511
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 75% (60)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)