10 Jul · 11:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1493
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1525
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H15-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.