10 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1661
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Balabei
SB
🇺🇦Serhii Balabei
ELO 1705
FormLWLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Balabei
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H59-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (59-29)