10 Jul · 11:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1558
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adam
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1541
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 65% (20)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H8-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.