10 Jul · 07:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1515
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolesnykov
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1536
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H26-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.