10 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1453
FormLWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stukalov
VK
🇺🇦Vasily Kondratenko
ELO 1434
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (32)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.