10 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1515
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Skhabitskiy
VS
🇺🇦Vasiliy Smyk
ELO 1493
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Skhabitskiy stays under total as favourite 63% (43)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H27-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.