10 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Artem Kasyanov
ELO 1710
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chuhai
SC
🇺🇦Serhii Chuhai
ELO 1725
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chuhai
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H52-71
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.