10 Jul · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1511
FormLLWWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Yakimenko
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1430
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Yakimenko stays under total as favourite 65% (31)
Fair odds · Yakimenko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+81
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+81)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)