10 Jul · 09:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kushnirenko
ELO 1576
FormLLLWW
92%Win chancemodel fair 1.09Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2137
FormWLWWW
8%
92%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 92% · 1.09vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 80%Total ~69 pts
0-3
53%
1-3
27%
2-3
12%
3-2
4%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+561
H2H46-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+561)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-0)