10 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1568
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lievshin
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1549
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Lievshin rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (61)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+19
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.