10 Jul · 07:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1253
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Senyk
AL
🇺🇦Andrii Lanchut
ELO 1217
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Senyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H8-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.