10 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1549
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Nitchenko
IN
🇺🇦Ivan Nitchenko
ELO 1552
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Nitchenko rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (19)
Fair odds · Nitchenko
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H12-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.