10 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Viktor Slozka
ELO 1525
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slozka
YV
🇺🇦Yaroslav Vorsuliak
ELO 1511
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vorsuliak🌟Vorsuliak covers set handicap as underdog 75% (60)
Fair odds · Slozka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H21-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.