10 Jul · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JB
🇺🇦Jan Blazek
ELO 1381
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Vana
MV
🇺🇦Miroslav Vana
ELO 1489
FormLWWWL
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blazek🌟Vana rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (23)
Fair odds · Vana
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)