10 Jul · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1511
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1525
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+14
H2H67-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.