10 Jul · 09:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇺🇦Mykhailo Senyk
ELO 1253
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Bolnyh
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Bolnyh
ELO 1314
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
🌟Bolnyh rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (14)
Fair odds · Bolnyh
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H7-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)