10 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇺🇦Vladyslav Stukalov
ELO 1453
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Stukalov
DN
🇺🇦Daniil Novakov
ELO 1451
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Stukalov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (32)
Fair odds · Stukalov
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H19-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.