10 Jul · 10:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BP
🇺🇦Bohdan Pyrtyk
ELO 1374
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pyrtyk
PM
🇺🇦Pavlo Melnichuk
ELO 1368
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Melnichuk rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Pyrtyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.